Forecasting
AlphaWave Builds a Cash Flow Forecast Finance Actually Trusts with Swiper
1 week
Forecast cycle time, down from 4 weeks
98%
Forecast accuracy within 30 days
THE COMPANY
A retail portfolio with cash flow that moves fast
AlphaWave operates a portfolio of specialty retail brands with stores and wholesale accounts nationwide, each with its own seasonality and payment patterns feeding into one consolidated forecast.
THE CHALLENGE
A forecast nobody fully trusted
The finance team’s spreadsheet forecast assumed every wholesale account paid on time and every month behaved like the last one. When actuals diverged, which was often, rebuilding the model took most of a month, by which point it was already out of date again.
We had a forecast. We just didn’t really believe it, and neither did anyone we presented it to.
Owen Mercer, Finance Ops Lead
THE SOLUTION
Forecasting from actual payment behavior
Swiper builds cash flow projections directly from AlphaWave’s invoicing and payment history: which accounts pay early, which consistently run late, and how collections trend by segment and season. The forecast updates continuously instead of being rebuilt from scratch each cycle.
Projections are shown as a confidence range with the underlying drivers visible, so finance can explain a shift in projected cash position rather than just report it.
THE RESULTS
A forecast leadership actually plans around
AlphaWave’s forecast cycle dropped from roughly four weeks to one, and projections now hold within 98% accuracy over a 30-day horizon.
For the first time, leadership can ask why the forecast changed and get a real answer instead of a shrug.
Owen Mercer
Finance Ops Lead, AlphaWave
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1 All figures, revenue examples, forecast ranges, profitability scenarios, valuation assumptions, return illustrations, and growth projections presented in this material are purely hypothetical and included solely for demonstration, mockup, interface preview, sales presentation, or conceptual explanation purposes.
2 Nothing contained in this demo, including any references to pricing, margins, cash flow, return on investment, payback periods, cost savings, tax treatment, strategic outcomes, or capital allocation, should be construed as financial, investment, legal, tax, accounting, or regulatory advice, and no person should make business, investment, or operational decisions based on this content without first consulting appropriately qualified professional advisers who can evaluate their specific facts, jurisdiction, obligations, and risk profile.
3 Any formulas, benchmarks, conversion rates, revenue multipliers, churn estimates, customer lifetime value calculations, discount rates, market sizing assumptions, or scenario models used in this presentation are simplified, selectively framed, and dependent on inputs that may be incomplete.